Prediction market guides
Free guides to prediction markets: how Polymarket and Kalshi work, how they compare, Bitcoin price markets and sports markets — plus the strategy behind pricing them.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: which prediction market should you use?
Regulation, fees, liquidity, market selection and payouts compared side by side — and when each one is the better venue.
Read guideWhat is Polymarket and how does it work?
Shares, odds, order books, resolution and fees explained from zero, with a worked example of a $100 position.
Read guideHow does Kalshi work?
The CFTC-regulated event exchange explained: contracts, settlement, fee schedule and what it means for US traders.
Read guideBitcoin prediction markets explained
How BTC price-threshold markets are priced, why they drift from options-implied probability, and how to spot the gaps.
Read guideSports prediction markets vs sportsbooks
Vig, limits, line shopping and in-play exits — why exchange-style sports markets behave differently from a book.
Read guide